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Posted on July 4 at 2:31 a.m.

I like the way you roll.

On Teenage Summer Views

Posted on May 27 at 7:10 p.m.

Copying and pasting from David Sadecki ‏@SBCFireInfo (Twitter)
48m ago:
White fire evacuation center established by the American Red Cross at 300 North Turnpike Rd.
<This is the Wake Adult Ed Center just north of Calle Real & 101>
1 hr ago:
White Fire burning on north side on Santa Ynez River. Last fire that occurred in the area was 2007 Rancho Fire.
White Fire UPDATE: 700 acres, 6 air tankers grounded due to high winds, 4 helos still flying, no injuries, cause under investigation.
2h ago:
USFS building partially burned. Two vehicles burned: one USFS and one private.

On Fire Burning Off Paradise Road

Posted on May 27 at 5:51 p.m.

Note "White Rock campground" must refer to the White Rock day use (aka picnic) area between Paradise Campground and Los Prietos Ranger Station/Sage Hill Group Campground. Not to be confused with the White Rock swimming hole at the end of the public stretch of the Los Prietos Road, between the Red Rock campground and the Red Rock swimming hole. Supporting this location is the bearing of the smoke from my house with respect to the Painted Cave community, and the report of a partially burned USFS structure (many of them near the WR day use area, and none near the WR swimming hole.)
1740h Update: http://inciweb.org/incident/3394/ just posted the location. The fire icon is located on the south side of Paradise Rd, just up the north-facing slope from the Ranger Station. Since 640 acres is a square mile, the burn is a minimum 0.3 miles long, so the bulk of the burn may still be on a south facing slope. It's early, so beware misinformation. But tabatha is right about the importance of whether the fire was on, or has crossed to, the north facing slope and is ready to run up to Camino Cielo.

On Fire Burning Off Paradise Road

Posted on October 17 at 10:09 a.m.

This is near the top of the San Jose and Maria Yagnico(?) creek drainages. Much of the upper west side of S.J. drainage burned a few years ago in the Gap Fire. Some of the M.Y. drainage burned in the Jesusita fire. But there is a nice swath of old chapperal in between that could pose problems if sundowners occur this evening. While my hunch is they are unlikely, and Accuweather forecast is for light winds, if someone has better judgment or forecast info on the chance of sundowners, please comment.

On Fire Near Painted Cave

Posted on May 9 at 11:25 p.m.

Ray, another great report, thanks.

On A Day of Change on the Front Lines

Posted on May 9 at 10:34 p.m.

Talking about the bright side......While no wild fire is a good one to those who lose homes, cars, animals, or otherwise suffer, looking at this fire from a community perspective, it is a good fire. { I wouldn't say that if the state/county/city/voters would support and implement proscribed burning after the rains when intentionally set fires will burn controllably. } While last year's Gap fire (no homes lost) shows old fuels can have slow enough fires we can suppress without lost of property, the most likely outcome for the fuel between the Gap and Tea fires (which hasn't burned since 1990 or 1964), is something like last year's Tea Fire (200 homes lost in the first 4 hours), the 1990 Paint fire (600 homes lost in the first 3 hours), or the circa 1977 Sycamore fire (350? homes in 4 hours). This is because: a) Santa Barbara and Noleta have many more homes in the foothills than Goleta, b) many of Goleta's most vulnerable homes are protected by large orchards or range lands. Furthermore: c) historically most of the burned acreage occurs during the large fires, and d) statistically the large fires are so because they started and spread during worse fire weather than the Gap or Jesusita Fires had (much worse sundowner winds -- hotter, faster, lasting longer, and directed more into the city), and e) with lower fuel moisture than the Jesusita Fire. Last point -- The Jesusita fire didn't have to compete with any other major fires so we received all the crews we could use. In summary, the odds are great that if this fire wasn't happening now, some or all of this acreage would of fed one or more fires that would of raged into the city and suburbs, burning more than a 1000 homes. That's no consolation to those who experienced loss now (My sincere condolences.), but it is to the rest of us who now have much lower risk for the next ten years.

On Jesusita Fire Turned Away from Trout Club

Posted on May 9 at 8:20 p.m.

Re the first comment asking about the fire burning over the top of the Santa Ynez mountains: The chances are very low because 1) there is a fair firebreak up their to backfire from, 2) there are lots of brush engine and hand crews on hand to jump on most spot fires that might start, 3) there's little other fire in socal so we have good air support to knock down a slop-over , 4) fire weather is forecast to be pretty good the next few days, 5) any slop-over would be burning down hill in vegetation with higher moisture content and lower solar heating because of the northern exposure. But never count mother nature out when she's only down.

On Jesusita Fire Turned Away from Trout Club

Posted on May 8 at 2:25 a.m.

-- CURRENT UPDATE -- 2am: No glow visible from Cathedral Oaks & Kellogg. No fire is big enough to show thru whatever smoke there is in between.
-- At 1 am I could see no fire nor even a glow from either the Patterson SB on-ramp or Turnpike SB offramp. Trees and hills do block both vantage points of were the fire must be, but lack of glow means nothing was big at that time. Wind there and also at Kellogg and C.O is very mild -- 2 to 5 mph.
-- Around midnight there were a few good flareups (bright glows) NE of CO and Kellogg. That bearing crosses Old SM Pass Rd where it just starts to climb. But I really really really doubt the fire was there. I'm sure is was from where that bearing crosses SM Pass (SR 154)... that first big curve to the right just up from the San Antonio Creek Rd tee. I heard from a firefigher around 10pm that the fire was at, or had crossed 154 near that tee intersection.

On San Roque Area Update

Posted on May 8 at 2:07 a.m.

-- CURRENT UPDATE -- 2am: No glow at from CO & Kellogg. No fire is big enough to get thru whatever smoke there is in between.
-- At 1 am I could see no fire nor even a glow from either the Patterson SB on-ramp or Turnpike SB offramp. Trees and hills do block both vantage points of were the fire must be, but lack of glow means nothing was big at that time. Wind there and also at Kellogg and C.O is very mild -- 2 to 5 mph.
-- Around midnight there were a few good flareups (bright glows) NE of CO and Kellogg. That bearing crosses Old SM Pass Rd where it just starts to climb. But I really really really doubt the fire was there. I'm sure is was from where that bearing crosses SM Pass (SR 154)... that first big curve to the right just up from the San Antonio Creek Rd tee. I heard from a firefigher around 10pm that the fire was at, or had crossed 154 near that tee.

On Mandatory Evacuation: North of Cathedral Oaks to Patterson

Posted on July 10 at 11:32 p.m.

Reply to Cavela re: "One question for Erika: it appears that your map shows the fire crossing Old San Marcos Road on the eastern side, is this correct or am I reading it wrong? "
I believe you are reading it wrong. The only area on her map that crosses OSMR is the mustard colored area that also crosses 154 and Painted Cave Rd. Click on this area and a popup will explain this is an evac warning area. The fire area is the purple region (bluish where overlays the green LPNF area, and taupe where overlays the LPNF and evac warning areas).

On /gap-fire-map/ -- Gap Fire Maps

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